A kereskedelmi bankok nyereséges működését leginkább veszélyeztető kockázattípus a hitelkockázat, amely nagyon leegyszerűsítve abból fakad, hogy az adósok nem teljesítik a bankkal szemben fennálló kötelezettségeiket. Egy esetleges nem teljesítési esemény következtében a...

Az elmúlt közel négy évtized adatait vizsgálva, megállapítható, hogy a hazai háztar tások hosszú távú viselkedésére egy, a pénzügyi magtakarításokkal szemben erő sen a fogyasztást és lakásberuházást előnyben részesítő magatartás vált jellemzővé az...

Banks are optimally opaque institutions. They produce debt for use as a transaction medium (bank money), which requires that information about the backing assets - loans - not be revealed, so that bank money does not fluctuate in value, reducing the efficiency of trade. This need for opacity...

The macroprudential regulatory framework of Basel III imposes the same capital and liquidity requirements on all banks around the world to ensure global competitiveness of banks. Using an agent-based model of the financial system, we find that this is not a robust framework to achieve...

We study the relation between the credit cycle and macro economic fundamentals in an intensity based framework. Using rating transition and default data of U.S. corporates from Standard and Poors over the period 19802005 we directly estimate the credit cycle from the micro rating data. We relate...

The complex dynamics of world financial markets yield inherent uncertainty and the prospect of periods of enhanced volatility. The turbulent global economic and regulatory environment of the past few years has certainly illustrated this reality. As investment managers interpret clients’...

This study explores the role of the credit securitisation process in managing the credit risk amount of the banking loan portfolio, when the bank originator retains a residual equitylike class as illiquid first loss position (FLP). An Importance Sampling Monte Carlo simulation model has been...

A new test for financial market contagion based on changes in extremal dependence defined as co-kurtosis and co-volatility is developed to identify the propagation mechanism of shocks across international financial markets. The proposed approach captures changes in various aspects of the asset...

This paper examines how banks around the world have resized and reallocated their earning assets in response to the subprime and sovereign debt crises. We focus especially on the interaction between sovereign debt and the bank asset allocation process. After the crisis we observe a general...

This paper quantitatively accounts for the cyclical dynamics of key macroeconomic housing and mortgage market variables using a tractable, search-theoretic model of housing with equilibrium mortgage default. To explain these dynamics, the model highlights the importance of liquidity spirals...