This paper simulates a dynamic traffic network by embedding an extra nonlinear delay function to represent traffic lights (or a similar regular delay) in each arc (or link), and it was shown that a late start driver may catch up with one who started earlier, subject only to the condition that...

Using small-disturbance expansions, we derive analytic expressions for the bias of the OLS estimator an elasticity in a linear model, both at an individual sample point and at the sample mean. The magnitudes of these biases are illustrated with Australian expenditure data.

We examine the finite sample properties of the MLE for the Logit model with random covariates. We derive the second order bias and MSE function for the MLE in this model, and undertake some numerical evaluations to illustrate the analytic results. From these numerical results we find, for...

We derive saddlepoint approximations for the density and distribution functions of the half-life estimated by OLS from an AR(1) or AR(p) model. Our analytic results are used to prove that none of the integer-order moments of these half-life estimators exist. This provides an explanation for the...

We examine the small-sample behaviour of the maximum likelihood estimator for the Poisson regression model with random covariates. Analytic expressions for the first-order bias and second-order mean squared error for this estimator are derived, and we undertake some numerical evaluations to...

We examine the finite sample properties of the maximum likelihood estimator for the binary logit model with random covariates. Analytic expressions for the first-order bias and second-order mean squared error function for the maximum likelihood estimator in this model are derived, and we...

A novel three-phase film with conductive acetylene black (AB) and ferroelectric phase (BaTiO3) introduced intoβ-polyvinylidene fluoride (β-PVDF) was prepared by using dip-coating method. The high dielectric constant of 650 can be obtained in the AB–PVDF/BaTiO3 composite film when AB content...

We consider the relative merits of various saddlepoint approximations for the c.d.f. of a statistic with a possibly non-normal limit distribution. In addition to the usual Lugannani-Rice approximation we also consider approximations based on higher-order expansions, including the case where the...

A two-sided Weibull is developed to model the conditional financial return distribution, for the purpose of forecasting Value at Risk (VaR) and conditional VaR. A range of conditional return distributions are combined with four volatility specifications to forecast tail risk in four...