New EU member countries are supposed to adopt the Euro as soon as economic convergence is achieved. This paper analyzes the effects of joining a monetary union on output and inflation variability in small acceding countries. An asymmetric macroeconomic two-country model is specified and combined...

This paper analyzes the role of common data problems when identifying structural breaks in small samples. Most notably, we survey small sample properties of the most commonly applied endogenous break tests developed by Brown, Durbin, and Evans (1975) and Zeileis (2004), Nyblom (1989) and Hansen...

This paper contributes to the analysis of the money supply process in Germany during the period of monetary targeting by the Bundesbank from 1975-1998. While the standard money multiplier approach assumes that the money stock is determined by the money multiplier and the monetary base it is...

In this paper we develop a small open economy model explaining the joint determination of output, inflation, interest rates, unemployment and the exchange rate in a multi-country framework. Our model – the Halle Economic Projection Model (HEPM) – is closely related to studies recently...

Die Europäische Wirtschafts- und Währungsunion (EWWU) befindet sich gegenwärtig in einer Schulden- und Vertrauenskrise. Die europäischen Institutionen haben darauf mit einer Reihe von Maßnahmen reagiert: Ein Finanzstabilisierungsmechanismus wurde geschaffen, und die Europäische Zentralbank...

Auf Vermögensmärkten ist es in der Wirtschaftsgeschichte immer wieder zu Preisblasen gekommen, also Situationen, in denen auf eine Phase stark steigender Preise ein abrupter Preissturz folgt. Wie lässt sich dieses Phänomen erklären? In diesem Beitrag wird erörtert, wie sich in einer...

We analyze the behavior of investors in the Berlin rental apartment house market over the years 1980-2004. Using constant-quality multipliers (price-rent ratios), we reject the hypothesis that multipliers in the market were set in a rational manner. Supported by narrative evidence, we conjecture...

We discuss how the welfare ranking of fixed and flexible exchange rate regimes in a New Open Economy Macroeconomics model depends on the interplay between the degree of exchange rate pass-through and the elasticity of substitution between home and foreign goods. We identify combinations of these...