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Forecasts of asset return volatility are necessary for many financial applications, including portfolio allocation …. Traditionally, the parameters of econometric models used to generate volatility forecasts are estimated in a statistical setting and … paper investigates the economic benefit of direct utility based estimation of the parameters of a volatility model and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005015195
analyze empirical results for a selection of existing realized measures of volatility and incorporate them in a Realized GARCH … framework for the joint modeling of returns and realized measures of volatility. An influential bias in these measures is … over time, which stresses the importance of careful modeling and forecasting of volatility. We show that improved model fit …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010945126
. When new information arrives, the market's expectations change. Therefore, prices fluctuate. Thus, price volatility is due … to information arrivals and hence, volatility can be forecast, based on the up-to-date information. However, when the … frame work to study risk and return, so that, we can gain a better understanding of market volatility. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005006809
We observe from the late 1990s an increasing phenomenon of volatility on these following markets: Oil (WTI price … of volatility and overcoming its first definition of risk measure, we have evaluated their interdependencies from a VAR … trajectories from FIGARCH model. This paper is presented as follows: Section 1 opens on a definition of the volatility, Section 2 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009322714
See the publication in <I>Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM)</I> (2013). Volume 94(C), pages 223-237.<P> In this paper we provide further evidence on the suitability of the median of the point VaR forecasts of a set of models as a GFC-robust strategy by using an additional set of new extreme...</p></i>
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011256711
See the publication in <I>The North American Journal of Economics and Finance</I> (2013). Volume 26(C), pages 250-265.<P> The Basel II Accord requires that banks and other Authorized Deposit-taking Institutions (ADIs) communicate their daily risk forecasts to the appropriate monetary authorities at the...</p></i>
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011256748
The Basel II Accord requires that banks and other Authorized Deposit-taking Institutions (ADIs) communicate their daily risk forecasts to the appropriate monetary authorities at the beginning of each trading day, using one or more risk models to measure Value-at-Risk (VaR). The risk estimates of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010730243
penalised through higher capital charges. This paper investigates the performance of five popular volatility models that can be …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010731585
VaR forecasts of a set of conditional volatility models. This risk management strategy is GFC-robust in the sense that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010732610
When dealing with market risk under the Basel II Accord, variation pays in the form of lower capital requirements and higher profits. Typically, GARCH type models are chosen to forecast Value-at-Risk (VaR) using a single risk model. In this paper we illustrate two useful variations to the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010732629