While fiscal forecasting and monitoring has its roots in the accountability of governments for the use of public funds in democracies, the Stability and Growth Pact has significantly increased interest in budgetary forecasts in Europe, where they play a key role in the EU multilateral budgetary...

While fiscal forecasting and monitoring has its roots in the accountability of governments for the use of public funds in democracies, the Stability and Growth Pact has significantly increased interest in budgetary forecasts in Europe, where they play a key role in EU multilateral budgetary...

En este trabajo estudiamos las características y los determinantes de las desviaciones entre las cifras iniciales y finales de los ingresos y gastos públicos incluidos en los presupuestos generales del Estado en el período 1985-2006. Nuestro objetivo es evaluar el grado de cumplimiento del...

We construct multivariate, state-space mixed-frequencies models for the main componentsof the Spanish General Government sector made up of blocks for each one of its subsectors: Central Government, Social Security and aggregate of Regional and Local government sectors. Each block is modelled...

In this paper we characterize some cyclical patterns for the Andalusian economy, for the period 1984-2001. Our work is basically an empirical one. Our results show that the Andalusian economy is more volatile than Spain as a whole, although there exist an important degree of coherence between...

En este artículo evaluamos el grado de ajuste a los objetivos presupuestarios establecidos de un conjunto de datos de recaudación tributaria de la Comunidad Autónoma de Andalucía. Usamos la metodología de Kanda (2002), que permite evaluar la probabilidad de alcanzar el objetivo anual...

The aim of this paper is to assess adherence to announced annual bud- getary targets of a set of fiscal revenue data for the Regional Government of Andalu- sia (1994-2002).The statistical methodology of Kanda (2002)is employed for eva- luating the likelihood of meeting annual fiscal revenue...

This paper compares the boom-bust cycle in Finland and Sweden 1984-1995 with the average boom-bust pattern in industrialized countries as calculated from an international sample for the period 1970-2002. Two clear conclusions emerge. First, the Finnish-Swedish experience is much more volatile...

This paper compares the boom-bust cycle in Finland and Sweden 1984-1995 with the average boom-bust pattern in industrialized countries as calculated from an international sample for the period 1970-2002. Two clear conclusions emerge. First, the Finnish-Swedish experience is much more volatile...