This paper employs a statistical approach to identify which sectors of the US economy are currently the most suitable indicators for monitoring the recovery. A comprehensive list of potential leading indicators is constructed through the application of economic theory. By applying a detailed...

This paper demonstrates that the current economic crisis has its roots in the evolution of the global economy during the 1960s. The gradual increase of US debt from the 1960s accompanied by the deficit in the US trade balance due to international competition from EU, Japan, and later from China...

European monetary history prior to 1950 presents many attempts at international monetary coordination, but none were as bold and as far reaching as the European Monetary Union envisioned in the Delors Report of 1989 and enacted through the 1991 Treaty on the European Union in Maastricht. This...

In this paper we analyze how the availability of credit influences the relationship between government size as a proxy for fiscal stabilization policy and the amplitude of business cycle fluctuations in a sample of advanced OECD countries. Interpreting relatively low loan-tovalue ratios as an...

The paper provides the methodological background for the Czech Republic business cycle dating process using an alternative approach. This approach is based on the mathematical principle of identification of extremes using estimates of derivations of time trend of the analysed time series, for...

In this paper we analyze how the availability of credit in uences the relationship between government size as a proxy for scal stabilization policy and the amplitude of business cycle uctuations in a sample of advanced OECD countries. Interpreting relatively low loan-tovalue ratios as an...