This study assesses the economic implications of China's changing population in the 21st century using a numerical general equilibrium model. The simulations show that lower fertility rates yield lower saving rates. Since lower fertility rates reduce the future supply of labor, capital will...

This paper calculates the levels of optimal national saving, investment, and the current account balance for five Asian economies—Hong Kong SAR, Japan, Singapore, Malaysia, and the Philippines—for the period 1997–2050 using a simulation approach. These calculations show the sensitivity of...

The paper develops a general equilibrium framework to examine the economic implications of population aging in Japan. Particular attention is paid to aggregate saving behavior which is modeled on the basis of empirical age-earnings profiles using a life-cycle approach. The paper's objectives are...

Der demographische Wandel wird viele Bundesländer in Zukunft vor große wirtschaftspolitische Herausforderungen stellen, da die Abnahme der Erwerbsbevölkerung die wirtschaftliche Dynamik bremst. Dem Versuch, den Fachkräftebedarf durch verstärkte Ausbildung zu decken, sind wegen der hohen...