Une industrie au cœur de la crise économique Une chute brutale des marchés et des recettes - Des impacts sur la chaîne de valeur globale Des choix stratégiques et managériaux Un management financier renforcé - Une multiplication des coalitions et des fusions-acquisitions -Un axe...

Three methods have been developed by the authors for solving optimal experimentation problems. David Kendrick (1981, 2002, Ch.10) uses quadratic approximation of the value function and linear approximation of the equation of motion to simulate general optimal experimentation (active learning)...

We examine the implications of decision theory for religious choice and evangelism, under the assumption that people choose their religion. The application of decision theory leads us to a broad definition of religion and a particular definition of faith, each related to the uncertainty...

El estudio de las primas de riesgo en el seguro del automóvil es de suma importancia, debido a la gran competitividad existente en el mercado asegurador. En este artículo se pretende proponer un sistema de bonificación-penalización de las primas de riesgo utilizando el Análisis Funcional en...

We study search behavior in a generalized "secretary problem" environment in which consumers search sequentially for the best alternative from a known and finite set of multi-attribute alternatives. In contrast to most previous studies, we make no distributional assumptions about the quality of...

This paper investigates a simple risk management problem where an investor is forced to hold a risky asset and then allowed to trade put options on the asset. I simulate the distribution of returns for different quantities of options and investigate statistics from the distribution. In the first...

Nicolas Bernoulli suggested the St Petersburg game, nearly 300 years ago, which is widely believed to produce a paradox in decision theory. This belief stems from a long standing mathematical error in the original calculation of the expected value of the game. This article argues that, in...

In the 1970s, Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP)has been introduced accidentally by Saaty [4] as a tool to allocate resources and planning needs for the military. However, due to its ability to identify the weightage of variables efficiently in research, it has become popular in many sectors....

Rising feed-in from renewable energy sources decreases margins, load factors, and thereby profitability of conventional generation in several electricity markets around the world. At the same time, conventional generation is still needed to ensure security of electricity supply. Therefore,...

We present a theory of discrete choice with information costs that supports deliberate stochastic choice. We use a unique experimental dataset to distinguish between errors arising from limitations on a decision maker's cognitive abilities and conscious disregard of information. Experimental...