Showing 1 - 10 of 8,529
Mortality risk models have been developed to capture trends and common factors driving mortality improvement. Multiple … is necessary to take into account the richer age structure of mortality improvement from young ages to middle and then …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010551692
We present a new way to model age-specific demographic variables with the example of age-specific mortality in the U … jointly with the latent variables underlying mortality of all age classes. In contrast to previous models, a similar … forecasts for particular age classes. A structural analysis of the relationship between age-specific mortality and covariates is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005784846
Stochastic modeling of mortality rates focuses on fitting linear models to logarithmically adjusted mortality data from … the middle or late ages. Whilst this modeling enables insurers to project mortality rates and hence price mortality … products it does not provide good fit for younger aged mortality. Mortality rates below the early 20’s are important to model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010688109
and the government bodies in the developed world. Significant and consistent improvements in mortality rates and hence … explosion of stochastic mortality models forecasting trends in mortality data in order to anticipate future life expectancy and … hence quantify the costs of providing for future ageing populations. Many stochastic models of mortality rates identify …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011206890
We present a new way to model age-specific demographic variables with the example of age-specific mortality in the U … jointly with the latent variables underlying mortality of all age classes. In contrast to previous models, a similar … forecasts for particular age classes. A structural analysis of the relationship between age-specific mortality and covariates is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010609985
Estimation in models with endogeneity concerns typically begins by searching for instruments. This search is inherently subjective and identification is generally achieved upon imposing the researcher's strong prior belief that such variables have no conditional impacts on the outcome. Results...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011107146
This paper investigates the complex interrelationships of qualitative socio-economic variables in the context of Boolean Regression. The data forming the basis for this investigation are from the German Micro-census waves of 1996 2002 and comprise about 400 000 observations. Boolean Regression...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008462093
Motivated by a recent demographic study establishing a link between macroeconomic fluctuations and the mortality index … company. Liabilities in our stochastic simulation framework are driven by a GDP-linked variant of the Lee-Carter mortality … stochastic process. Our results show that insolvency probabilities are significantly higher when the reaction of mortality rates …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005207946
mortality experiences of the two populations. This suggests the important result that high levels of hedge effectiveness should …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009399162
Government-issued longevity bonds would allow longevity risk to be shared efficiently and fairly between generations. In exchange for paying a longevity risk premium, the current generation of retirees can look to future generations to hedge their aggregate longevity risk. There are also wider...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009367987