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volatility, correlation, beta, quadratic variation, jump variation, and other functionals of an underlying continuous …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010834073
The paper outlines a methodology for analyzing daily stock returns that relinquishes the assumption of global stationarity. Giving up this common working hypothesis reflects our belief that fundamental features of the financial markets are continuously and significantly changing. Our approach...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005119176
is presented in this paper and evaluated by means of a simulation and a real world example of volatility spillovers in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005731539
, durations, realized volatility, daily range, and so on) which exhibit clustering and can be modeled as the product of a vector …, number of trades and realized volatility reveals empirical support for a dynamically interdependent pattern of relationships …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005731543
gains over the equation by equation approach using a four variable fully interdependent model with different volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005731544
Abstract Behavioural finance has challenged many claims of efficient market hypothesis (EMH). Unfortunately many of these challenges are in the form of anecdotal evidence and lack quantification. This article uses market data together with some simple statistics to show that in practice certain...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009319869
The consistent ranking of multivariate volatility models by means of statistical loss function is a challenging … research field, because it concerns the quality of the proxy chosen to replace the unobserved volatility, the set of competing … realized covariance (RCOV), the proxy that generally provides a consistent estimate of the unobserved volatility. The aim of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010860339
(individually) based on low or high volatility states, the corresponding correlation measure between futures and spot returns is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010870242
Many researchers use GARCH models to generate volatility forecasts. We show, however, that such forecasts are too … variable. To correct for this, we extend the GARCH model by distinguishing two regimes with different volatility levels. GARCH … terms only. The empirical application on U.S. dollar exchange rates shows that our model indeed yields better volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011090288
prices. We empirically assess efficiency gains in volatility estimation when using range-based estimators as opposed to … simple daily ranges and explore the use of these more efficient volatility measures as predictors of daily ranges. The array … forecasts are produced by a realized range based HAR model with a GARCH volatility-of-volatility component. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011099986