Az átmeneti országokban a népesség demográfiailag fiatalabb, és lassabban öregszik, mint az európai piacgazdaságokban. Ennek ellenére a nyugdíjrendszerek függőségi rátája (a nyugdíjasok aránya a járulékfizetőkhöz) sohasem látott szintre emelkedett az 1990-es évek első...

Tanulmányunkban bemutatjuk a népesség iskolai végzettségének előrejelzésére kidolgozott mikroszimulációs modell (ISMIK) felépítését és jellemzőit, és ismertetjük a modell felhasználásával készített előrejelzés eredményeit. A mikroszimulációs modellben az egyének...

This article outlines those economic losses and attempts to impress upon the reader the potential for further disruptions at a regional level. There is a wasted economic potential in the youthful and increasingly well educated populations of Muslim countries, confined to poverty and handouts...

The question of whether morbidity is being compressed into the period just before death has been at the center of health debates in the United States for some time. Compression of morbidity would lead to longer life but less rapid medical spending increases than if life extension were...

I examine the relationship across diseases between the long-run growth in the number of publications about a disease and the change in the age-adjusted mortality rate from the disease. The diseases analyzed are almost all the different forms of cancer, i.e. cancer at different sites in the body...

Projected demographic changes in industrialized and developing countries vary in extent and timing but will reduce the share of the population in working age everywhere. Conventional wisdom suggests that this will increase capital intensity with falling rates of return to capital and increasing...

Since 1950 the sources of the gains from marriage have changed radically. As the educational attainment of women overtook and surpassed that of men and the ratio of men's to women's wage rates fell, traditional patterns of gender specialization in work weakened. The primary source of the gains...

Dramatic fertility swings over the last 100 years have been the subject of large literatures in demography and economics. Recent research has claimed that the post-1960 fertility decline is exceptional enough to constitute a "Second Demographic Transition." The empirical case for a Second...

We investigate the effect of the vintage (year of FDA approval) of the prescription drugs used by an individual on his or her survival and medical expenditure. When we only control for age, sex, and interview year, we estimate that a one-year increase in drug vintage increases life expectancy by...

This study presents single-sex and two-sex matrix models to describe accurately the dynamics and to analyze the long-term behavior of human populations, using the case of Spain as example. The long term dynamics analysis of the population of Spain estimates a slight increase in the total...