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We examine Lars E O Svensson's prominent critique of the monetary policy of the Sveriges Riksbank (the Swedish central bank) from 1995-2012. Our main objection concerns Svensson's conclusion that the original pre-Friedman/Phelps version of the Phillips curve based on constant inflation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011019080
use such copula to model the dependence between two random variables that cannot be both lower than given values, but each can be lower than the corresponding value. This can be used in the Phillips curve. Even we consider the values of inflation and unemployment ent or their rates, there exist...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010558789
Estimates of the NAIRU are usually derived either from a Phillips curve or from a wage curve. This paper investigates the correspondence between the operational NAIRU-concepts and the steady state of a dynamic wage-price model. We derive the parameter restrictions that secure that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005573916
We consider a time-varying parameter vector autoregressive model with stochastic volatility and mixture innovations to study the empirical relevance of the Lucas critique for the postwar U.S. economy. The model allows blocks of parameters to change at endogenously-estimated points of time....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010754533
We consider a time-varying parameter vector autoregressive model with stochastic volatility and mixture innovations to study the empirical relevance of the Lucas critique for the postwar U.S. economy. The model allows blocks of parameters to change at endogenously-estimated points of time....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010667888
In this paper I evaluate the theoretical consistency of Friedman.s Phillips curve. For this, I review his own exposition in the subject, making emphasis in his contributions to the short-run analysis of unemployment, wages and prices in front of the classical theory and Keynes.s .General...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005464636
We consider a time-varying parameter vector autoregressive model with stochastic volatility and mixture innovations to study the empirical relevance of the Lucas critique for the postwar U.S. economy. The model allows blocks of parameters to change at endogenously estimated points of time....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011051959
The notion that the long-term unemployed are relatively detached from the labour market and therefore exert only little downward pressure on wage inflation has regained significant traction recently. This paper investigates whether the conclusion that long-term unemployment is only weakly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011102930
Dieser Beitrag analysiert die Existenz und das Ausmaß nach unten starrer Nominallöhne, sowie deren realwirtschaftliche Implikationen für den deutschen Arbeitsmarkt. Unter Verwendung von drei alternativen Modellvarianten für die proportionale Abwärtsnominallohnrigidität wurde auf Grundlage...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005176947
In diesem Beitrag werden die wichtigsten Erkenntnisse zu Ausmaß und Ursachen der strukturellen Arbeitslosigkeit in Europa vor dem Hintergrund eines einheitlichen theoretischen Bezugrahmens zusammengefasst, erklärt und bewertet. Die strukturelle Arbeitslosigkeit wird in der Literatur...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005176945