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High oil prices are favourable for OPEC in the short run, but may undermine its future revenues. We search for the optimal oil price level for the producer group, using a partial equilibrium model for the oil market. The model explicitly accounts for reserves, development and production in 4...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004980729
At the end of August 2013, the international prices of Brent crude rose to a 17-month high ($ 117.8 /barrel) as Western powers, mainly USA, readied a military strike against Syria, and traders and analysts cited concerns over stability in the Middle East. The main concern was the risk that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011145120
At the end of August 2013, the international prices of Brent crude rose to a 17-month high ($ 117.8 /barrel) as Western powers, mainly USA, readied a military strike against Syria, and traders and analysts cited concerns over stability in the Middle East. The main concern was the risk that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011145130
mean and volatility. The endogenous structural breakpoint unit root test, ARDL model, and alternative volatility models … price while the volatility of global fertilizer prices and crude oil price from March to December 2008 are higher than in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010907445
In this note, we consider the relationship between oil price volatility and firm returns for 560 firms listed on the … New York Stock Exchange. Using daily time series data from 2000 to 2008, we find that oil price volatility increases firm …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011278529
during last fifteen years have led the unstable path and the volatility persistence in the international oil market. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010542263
In this note, we consider the relationship between oil price volatility and firm returns for 560 firms listed on the … New York Stock Exchange. Using daily time series data from 2000 to 2008, we find that oil price volatility increases firm …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009366884
mean and volatility. The endogenous structural breakpoint unit root test, ARDL model, and alternative volatility models … price while the volatility of global fertilizer prices and crude oil price from March to December 2008 are higher than in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010604584
autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (GARCH) model. Trend and volatility are estimated jointly with the maximum likelihood … estimation. There is long persistence in the variance of oil price shocks, and a GARCH unit root (GUR) test can potentially yield …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008636497
mean and volatility. The endogenous structural breakpoint unit root test, ARDL model, and alternative volatility models … price while the volatility of global fertilizer prices and crude oil price from March to December 2008 are higher than in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010699169