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Understanding differences in business cycle phenomena between Emerging Market Economies (EMEs) and industrialized countries has been at the center of recent research on macroeconomic fluctuations. The purpose of this paper is to investigate the importance of certain credit market imperfections...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010817310
used for both consumption and production. In our framework, higher volatility in oil prices works through two main channels … in our model. We show that the fall in investment following a rise in the volatility of real oil prices in the case of … between shocks to the level and volatility of oil prices is quantitatively important: initial responses of investment, output …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010941497
Following Chairman Ben Bernanke’s comments before Congress that the FOMC may ‘take a step down in the pace of asset purchases if economic improvement appears to be sustained’, US 10-year interest rates picked up sharply and gross capital flows to emerging market economies (EMEs) reversed....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011276981
The euro zone crisis illustrates the deficiencies of adjustment mechanisms in a monetary union characterized by a large heterogeneity. Exchange rate adjustments being impossible, they are very few alternative mechanisms. At the level of the whole euro zone the euro is close to its equilibrium...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011146223
The first part of this paper examines the behaviour of rupiah over the last seven years (1996 - 2002) to ascertain whether in fact there is specific evidence of a return to de facto US dollar peg in Indonesia. To preview the main conclusion, we find evidence to suggest that this has been the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008740114
The first part of this paper examines the behaviour of rupiah over the last eight years (1995 - 2003) to ascertain whether in fact there is specific evidence of a return to de facto US dollar peg in Indonesia. While we fail to find strong evidence to suggest Indonesia has reverted to the extent...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008740121
Whether a real devaluation ultimately proves to be expansionary or contractionary depends on whether the boost given to the exportables sector offsets any possible output-depressing effects that may accompany the expenditure-switching policy. Failure of the exportables sector to adequately...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008740142
balances to GDP volatility can be due to the different degree of shock persistence in developed and developing countries. …This paper empirically investigates the impact of GDP volatility on current account balances for a large sample of … include GDP volatility computed from the annual growth rate of GDP. It turns out that for low income countries the impact of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008799599
reduce exchange rate volatility and to smooth interest rates. Steep depreciations combined with volatility did not help …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011095683
The withdrawal of foreign capital from emerging countries at the height of the recent financial crisis and its quick return sparked a debate about the impact of capital flow surges on asset markets. This paper addresses the response of property prices to an inflow of foreign capital. For that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010955282