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This paper shows that the response of inflation to external shocks is very different when the authorities target the real exchange rate than when they follow a fixed exchange rate or a preannounced crawling peg. Specifically, shocks that would have no effect on the steady-state inflation rate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005248257
This paper analyzes the effects of intervention on the level and volatility of the exchange rate in Mexico and Turkey, two emerging countries that have floating exchange rate regimes. The paper finds mixed evidence on the effectiveness of intervention. In Mexico, foreign exchange sales have a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005264020
Much recent analysis of international monetary and fiscal policy issues, such as the choice of an exchange-rate regime or the design of a policy coordination scheme, has been conducted by stochastic simulations with multicountry econometric models. In these studies, it has become standard...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005264022
This paper examines the question of how to design an optimal and sustainable exchange rate regime in a world economy of two interdependent countries. It develops a Barro-Gordon type two-country model and compares noncooperative equilibria under different assumptions of monetary policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005264066
This Mundell Fleming lecture at the International Monetary Fund’s 2001 annual research conference marks the 25th anniversary of Rudiger Dornbusch’s masterpiece, “Expectations and Exchange Rate Dynamics,” a seminal contribution to both policy and research in the field of international...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005826493
We focus on the management of highly persistent shocks to aid flows, including PRSP-related increases in net inflows, in three “post-stabilization.” African economies with de jure flexible exchange rates. Such shocks have beneficent long-run effects, but when currency substitution is high...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005769010
We develop a model of rational bubbles based on the assumptions of unknown market liquidity and limited liability of … condition for whether rational bubbles are possible. Based on this analysis, we discuss several widely-discussed policy measures … with respect to their effectiveness in preventing bubbles. A reduction of manager bonuses or a Tobin tax can create or …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008693528
The paper introduces the assumption of costly information acquisition to the theory of mechanism design for matching … results in that theory: in particular, the first-best might not be implementable. Moreover, it might not even be possible to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008742970
We develop a parsimonious model of bubbles based on the assumption of imprecisely known market depth. In a speculative … possibility of bubbles depending on the risk-free rate, uncertainty about market depth, and traders’ degree of leverage. This … allows us to discuss several policy measures. Bubbles always reduce aggregate welfare. Among others, certain monetary policy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010783630
Bubbles are generally considered the outcome of investor irrationality or informational asymmetry, both objectionable … prices make a lognormal price process that nests the classic CAPM with a potential for endogenous bubbles through learning … might burst to bubbles or decline to near-zero, “pink-sheet†valuations. When the technology shifts phase to generate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005702759