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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004999886
A recent wave of economic research has studied the transformation of China from a poor country in the 1970s to a middle-income economy today. Based on this literature, we discuss the factors driving China’s development process. We provide a historical account of China’s rise, fall, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010886217
There is some concern that immigration contributes to a larger current account deficit in a net borrowing country like Australia. The reason is believed to be that the immigrants on balance have a lower net saving than those born in the country.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004971416
Stock market price/earnings ratios should be influenced by demography. Since demography is predictable, stock returns should be as well. We provide a simple stochastic OLG model with a cyclical structure that generates cyclical P/E ratios. We calibrate the model to roughly fit the cyclical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005196044
By simulating a model of the optimal level of saving in a small open economy, this paper calculates the levels of optimal national saving for Australia for the period from 1997 to 2051. The calculations focus on the implications of making allowance for the ageing structure of the population. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005587703
to have low savings relative to investment, which depresses their capital outflows. This paper puts life-cycle theory to … these two regions. Youth rates depressed domestic savings significantly in both the MENA and GISP regions, while ageing as … well as population growth had a positive impact in the GISP region. Also, domestic savings significantly caused …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011114397
This paper was begun during a visit at the Cowles Foundation in Fall 2000 and revised during a visit in Fall 2002: Michael Magill and Martine Quinzii are grateful for the stimulating environment and the research support provided by the Cowles Foundation. We are also grateful to Bob Shiller for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004990685
Many households have insufficient savings to handle moderate and routine consumption shocks. Many of these financially …-Linked Savings (PLS) accounts, that combine principal-security with lottery-type jackpots, can increase savings among these at …-risk households. Results from an online experiment show that the introduction of PLS accounts increase total savings and reduce …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010959657
-cycle framework how individuals respond to recessions. Our focus is on the sharp increase in savings rates that have been observed in … times. We show that the rise in the aggregate savings ratio is driven by increases in uncertainty, rather than tighening of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010548897
I develop a general equilibrium model in which the quality of household financial decisions is endogenously determined … more skewed equilibrium wealth distribution. In this context, social security privatization affects household search effort … reduction is somewhat magnified by the search friction. While some have suggested that household decision making could be …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010604555