Showing 1 - 10 of 3,995
This paper describes a corporate sector vulnerability indicator, the expected number of defaults (END), based on the joint occurrence of defaults among a number of firms and/or institutions. The END indicator is general enough to assess systemic risk in the corporate and financial sectors, as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005264155
VaR approach confirms a significant risk of government financial failure stemming from the volatility and comovements of … vulnerability, the volatility of sovereign spreads and of oil prices remain major sources of risk for Ecuador's public sector. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005826365
options pricing. Calibration to crude oil futures' options shows high volatility of oil futures prices, fat-tailed, and right … findings support the view that demand for futures contracts by investors could lead to excessively high price volatility. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005605320
This paper presents a general method for pricing weather derivatives. Specification tests find that a temperature series for Fresno, California follows a mean-reverting Brownian motion process with discrete jumps and ARCH errors. Based on this process, we define an equilibrium pricing model for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005805319
The mechanism behind price formation in electricity futures markets is still under discussion. Theory suggests that hedging pressure caused by deviating risk preferences is the most promising approach. This paper contributes to this discussion through an empirical investigation of electricity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009219924
This paper contributes to the ongoing discussion on price formation in electricity markets. For this, we conduct an analysis of the German electricity wholesale spot market which is located at the European Energy Exchange (EEX). Our dataset covers three spot market segments, namely the intraday...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009219938
correlation with the central moments. We present evidence that risk-neutral densities do not provide accurate forecasts for the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005146790
cor-relations and volatility spillovers between crude oil and stock index returns, pricing exotic options using the Wang … transform, the rise and fall of S&P500 variance futures, predicting volatility using Markov switching multifractal model … approach, forecasting volatility via stock return, range, trading volume and spillover effects: the case of Brazil, estimating …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010907433
correlations and volatility spillovers between crude oil and stock index returns, pricing exotic options using the Wang transform …, the rise and fall of S&P500 variance futures, predicting volatility using Markov switching multifractal model: evidence …, forecasting volatility via stock return, range, trading volume and spillover effects: the case of Brazil, estimating and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010543596
correlations and volatility spillovers between crude oil and stock index returns, pricing exotic options using the Wang transform …, the rise and fall of S&P500 variance futures, predicting volatility using Markov switching multifractal model: evidence …, forecasting volatility via stock return, range, trading volume and spillover effects: the case of Brazil, estimating and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010731768