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In this paper we explore the hierarchical nature of tourism demand time series and produce short-term forecasts for Australian domestic tourism. The data and forecasts are organized in a hierarchy based on disaggregating the data for different geographical regions and for different purposes of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005087588
In many applications, there are multiple time series that are hierarchically organized and can be aggregated at several different levels in groups based on products, geography or some other features. We call these "hierarchical time series". They are commonly forecast using either a "bottom-up"...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005087592
The performance of alternative forecasting methods that use hierarchical and direct forecasting strategies for predicting spare parts demand depends on the demand features. This paper uses data obtained from the South Korean Navy to identify the demand features of the spare parts that influence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010665771
In the South Korean Navy the demand for many spare parts is infrequent and the volume of items required is irregular. This pattern, known as non-normal demand, makes forecasting difficult. This paper presents a case study using data obtained from the South Korean Navy to compare the performance...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011043371
In inventory management, hierarchical forecasting (HF) is a hot issue : families of items are formed for which total demand is forecasted; total forecast then is broken up to produce forecasts for the individual items.Since HF is a complicated procedure, analytical results are hard to obtain;...
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