Showing 1 - 10 of 8,289
This paper studies stylized business cycle properties of household production in four industrialized countries (Canada, the United States, Germany, and Japan). We employ a dynamic small open economy business cycle model that incorporates a household production sector. We use the model to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005825641
Economists have studied for a long time how decision-makers allocate scarce resources. The recent literature on rational inattention studies how decision-makers allocate the scarce resource attention. The idea is that decision-makers have a limited amount of attention and have to decide how to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009395648
This paper constructs a coincident indicator for the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) area business cycle. The resulting coincident indicator provides a reliable measure of the GCC business cycle; over the last decade, the GCC coincident index and the real GDP growth have moved closely together....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004999961
We propose and implement a framework for characterizing and monitoring the global business cycle. Our framework utilizes high-frequency data, allows us to account for a potentially large amount of missing observations, and is designed to facilitate the updating of global activity estimates as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008839326
business surveys. We use the generalized dynamic factor model à la Forni and others (2000) to extract common components from a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005605434
We develop monthly indicators for tracking growth in 32 advanced and emerging-market economies. We test the historical performance of our indicators and find that they do a good job at describing the business cycle. In a recursive out-of-sample forecasting exercise, we find that the indicators...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008876579
The paper investigates how changes in industries' funding costs affect total factor productivity (TFP) growth. Based on panel regressions using 31 U.S. and Canadian industries between 1991 and 2007, and using industries' dependence on external funding as an identification mechanism, we show that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009293770
learning-to-forecast laboratory experiment where subjects are incentivized to form accurate expectations about inflation and … greater forecast accuracy, coordination of expectations and macroeconomic stability. The benefits of this focal information …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010818175
This paper develops a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model with rational inattention. Households and decision-makers in firms have limited attention and decide how to allocate their attention. The paper studies the implications of rational inattention for business cycle dynamics. Impulse...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008468587
We develop a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model with rational inattention by households and firms. Consumption responds slowly to interest rate changes because households decide to pay little attention to the real interest rate. Prices respond quickly to some shocks and slowly to other...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009003438