It is important to identify the effects of stock prices on financial and macroeconomic variables when the development of capital markets is concerned. In this study, AB type-SVAR models are employed, whereupon impulse response functions (IRFs) and forecast error variance decompositions (FEVDs)...

Using monthly data for a set of variables, we examine the out-of-sample performance of various variance/covariance models and find that no model has consistently outperformed the others. We also show that it is possible to increase the probability mass toward the tails and to match reasonably...

We measure bank vulnerability in emerging markets using the distance-to-default, a risk-neutral indicator based on Merton's (1974) structural model of credit risk. The indicator is estimated using equity prices and balance-sheet data for 38 banks in 14 emerging market countries. Results show it...