respect to forecasting area-wide industrial production. To this end, we use various tests that are designed to compare … in booms and recessions to check-whether a specific indicator that appears to be a good choice on average is also …

should be statistically significant and stable over time. (3) The inclusion of the indicator in out-of-sample forecasting …

Summary We compare the forecasting ability of the ifo-business expectations and ZEW-business expectations for the …

of the parameters but also those based on the uncertainty from selecting the specification of the forecasting model from … this paper we compare the forecasting ability of three important German business cycle indicators: the ifo business …

trend in empirical methods, short-term prognoses and turning point analyses in forecasting. Can we establish new hypotheses …

Summary In this paper we perform a comparative study of the forecasting properties of the about 30 alternative leading … a structural break in the growth rates that occurs in the first half of 2001. Our results suggest that the forecasting … forecasting accuracy but the forecasting performance of all alternative indicators has significantly deteriorated in the post …

Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to examine the usefulness of the yield spread for forecasting growth in the …-sample and out-of-sample forecasting power of the spread-growth nexus in Australia for the period spanning from 1969 to 2014 … participants on the usefulness of the spread in forecasting output growth for up to eight quarters ahead.  …

effective as an aid in forecasting the overall health of an organization than traditional accounting‐based models. It provides a …