Zusammenfassung Die gebräuchlichen Methoden zur Verdeutlichung der konjunkturellen Aussage einer Zeitreihe liefern an ihrem aktuellen Rand nur ein relativ ungenaues Bild. Darum wird hier als ein alternatives Verfahren vorgeschlagen, das Signale einer sich anbahnenden konjunkturellen Wende in...

Zusammenfassung Es wird ein Tiefpaßfilter vorgestellt, der speziell dafür entworfen wurde, die konjunkturelle Entwicklung am aktuellen Rand einer Zeitreihe nachzuvollziehen. Anhand von Transferfunktionen, praktischen Anwendungen und stochastischen Simulationen werden seine Eigenschaften mit...

Zusammenfassung In der vorliegenden Arbeit wird die Leistungsfähigkeit zweier Verfahren zur Verdeutlichung der konjunkturellen Entwicklung einer wirtschaftlichen Zeitreihe am aktuellen Rand verglichen. Es handelt sich dabei um einen neu entwickelten Tiefpassfilter und das...

Summary The Baxter-King filter shows some weaknesses, particularly with regard to monthly time series. This procedure involves not only a loss of data for the border areas of time series, but suppresses inadequately high frequency components and shows as a low-pass filter only the performance of...

Purpose – Community supported agriculture (CSA) programs allow consumers to buy a share of a farm’s production while providing working capital and risk management benefits for farmers. Several different types of CSA arrangements have emerged in the market with terms varying in the degree to...

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to present the development of cumulative rainfall deficit (CRD) indices for corn in Shandong Province, China, based on high-resolution weather (county, 1980-2011) and yield data (township, 1989-2010) for five counties in Tai’an prefecture....

Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to examine if the enactment of Sarbanes-Oxley (SOX) resulted in lower risk premium and return volatility in the US stock markets. The paper examines the two components of excess return (total risk premium) separately: the amount of volatility (risk) and...

Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to examine how policy instability is priced in interest rates. Policy instability refers to the likelihood that the current policy will be changed in the future in the absence of political power shifts. Design/methodology/approach – Chinese...

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to investigate the role of volatility risk on stock return predictability specified on two global financial crises: the dot-com bubble and recent financial crisis. Design/methodology/approach Using a broad sample of stock options traded on the American Stock...

Purpose – Media-effect refers to the phenomenon that stocks with no or low media coverage earn higher returns than stocks with high coverage. This paper aims to explore the existence of media-effect in China stock market and tests the two competing hypotheses explaining this phenomenon....