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Abstract The extreme value theory (EVT) is used to assess the risk of extreme events caused by natural calamities or untoward circumstances in the social and economic sectors. The theory can be used to study the frequency of rare events and to build up a predictive model so that one can attempt...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014591045
This paper assesses the response of a set of emerging markets' domestic interest rates to the US monetary policy surprises within a dynamic framework. Monthly data from Algeria, Bahrain, Israel, Jordan, Kuwait, Tunisia and Turkey for the 1989:03 to 2005:12 period reveal positive effects of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014618760
Abstract The effective federal funds rate is determined in a competitive interbank market, while the target federal funds rate represents a policy variable. This paper proposes a theory of the determination of the effective funds rate. According to the main result, the latter is a Lagrange...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014619343
on the volatility of the German DAX. Moreover, the intraday volatility of the DAX index has a U-shaped form, which has … also been identified for other international stock markets. Major reactions of both returns and volatility occur within the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014609130
This paper applies non-linear methods to analyze and predict the daily VIX index which is one of the most important stock indexes in the world. The aim of the analysis is to quantitatively show if the corresponding time series is a deterministic chaotic one and if one or more days ahead...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012047129
results show that the incidence of informal employment is directly linked with EPL, volatility, and labor bargaining power. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014585145
estimation methodology, we investigate the degree and direction of dissemination in the volatility of economic growth. Our …’s economic growth volatility to affect other countries. Thus, an economic recession for example in one country, does not affect … all countries equally across regime type. Second, growth volatility is not simply a North-South phenomenon, but a South …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014588419
Abstract This paper uses a dynamic framework of a small open economy to study the volatility effects of partially … stabilizing, i. e. lead to a lower volatility than a fully anticipated monetary policy shock of the same form. (ii) However, we …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014609557
This paper examines the stability, predictability, volatility, time varying risk premiums and persistence of shocks to … volatility in the ten Middle Eastern and African (ME&A) emerging stock markets. Although the majority of ME&A markets only … finds ME&A markets to be unpredictable. The findings on volatility in the emerging market indicate that eight out of the ten …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014618727
the conditional volatility models of the GARCH class. We find that the differences between the opening price of one day … effects of modifying the direct impact of daily innovations on volatility and reducing the estimated overall persistence of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014620805