This paper indicates special aspects of using vector auto-regression models to forecast rates of basic macroeconomic indicators in short term. In particular, traditional vector auto-regression model, Bayesian vector auto-regression model and factor augmented vector auto-regression model are...

Probabilistic programming allows artificial systems to better operate with uncertainty, and stochastic arithmetic provides a way to carry out approximate computations with few resources. As such, both are plausible models for natural cognition. The authors' work on the automatic design of...