Showing 1 - 10 of 144
principal method used for the research. The results were also illustrated using examples and simulation studies. Volatility … statistical properties of volatility modeling.  …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014901409
Summary The rise of the East-German economy in the 1950s and 1960s and its decline in the 1970s and 1980s is difficult to explain by neoclassical economics. However; the observed life cycle may be explained by the inclusion of concepts from old and new institutional economics and from functional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014608780
Purpose The purpose of this paper is to investigate the volatility linkage between global oil market and major South … vector autoregressive-generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedastic model to examine whether shocks and volatility … analysis suggest that all the markets studied do receive volatility from the oil market. Not surprisingly, the authors do not …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014785503
Summary In this paper, we analyze oil price impacts on unemployment for Germany. Firstly, we survey theoretical and empirical literature on the oil-unemployment relationship and relate them to the German case. Secondly, we illustrate this issue within the framework of a vector autoregression...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014609255
Summary We use oil price forecasts from the Consensus Economic Forecast poll for the time period Oct. 1989 - Dec. 2008 to analyze how forecasters form their expectations. Our findings indicate that the extrapolative as well as the regressive expectation formation hypothesis play a role. Standard...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014609296
prices, and exchange rates have a positive effect on the TEPIX. In other words, the results of the econometric estimation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014782194
Purpose – This study aims to examine the relationship between the oil price and the exchange rate for Nigeria between January 1997 and December 2012. Previous empirical studies revealed an ambiguous relationship between crude oil prices and exchange rates, a reason for exploring the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014774117
Purpose The aim of this paper is to suggest a new approach to the problem of sales forecasting for improving forecast accuracy. The proposed method is capable of combining, by means of appropriate weights, both the responses supplied by the best-performing conventional algorithms, which base...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014743632
This paper applies non-linear methods to analyze and predict the daily VIX index which is one of the most important stock indexes in the world. The aim of the analysis is to quantitatively show if the corresponding time series is a deterministic chaotic one and if one or more days ahead...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012047129
results show that the incidence of informal employment is directly linked with EPL, volatility, and labor bargaining power. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014585145