Purpose This research aims to model the relationship between the credit risk signals in the credit default swap (CDS) market and agency credit ratings, and determines the factors that help explain the variation in such signals. Design/methodology/approach A comprehensive analysis of the...

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to identify the arbitrage opportunities between US industry-level credit and stock markets with a focus on dynamic lead-lag relationships given that these markets involve heterogeneous agents operating over various time horizons. Design/methodology/approach...

Purpose This study aims to investigate whether ownership compositions effect credit risk profiles of banks prior to and during the financial crisis. In detail, this study examines whether more powerful owners of a bank impact the credit risk profile. Design/methodology/approach The effects of...

Purpose Financial price forecast issues are always a concern of investors. However, the financial applications based on machine learning methods mainly focus on stock market predictions. Few studies have explored credit risk predictions. Understanding credit risk trends can help investors avoid...

The assessment of businesses' credit risk is a difficult and important process in the area of financial risk management. In a classical multivariate model, financial ratios are combined in order to achieve a credit risk score, which signals if a loan application is approved or discarded. Despite...

A lack of reliable credit risk measurements and poor control of credit risks has caused massive financial losses across a wide spectrum of business. Financial institutions like banks have not been able to control and contain the rapid increases of the credit defaulting. In this paper, we address...

Summary The forward rate curve is assumed to follow a stochastic differential equation w.r.t. a Lévy process with infinite dimensions. Conditions under which the market is free of arbitrage are provided for both the interest rate case and for the case of credit risk with ratings. A simulation...

Abstract We design a discrete time arbitrage-free model under incomplete information for application to credit risk models in the spirit of Duffie and Lando (2001). We assume a fundamental value process evolving according to a complete market model and a sequence of imperfect signals conveying...