Using data on Brazil, Colombia, Mexico, the Philippines, Russia and Turkey, our empirical results show that the exchange rates of their currencies have adequate explanatory power in explaining their US dollar-denominated sovereign bonds, particularly in the post-crisis period. We develop a...

This paper is about market liquidity risk premia in Eurozone sovereign bond spreads between 2008 and 2015. By calibrating an arbitrage-free reduced form model to the cash- and derivatives markets of each member state, we disentangle credit and market liquidity spread components in government...

The study conducts an empirical test on dollar-denominated sovereign credit spreads in emerging markets, including Brazil, Colombia, Mexico, the Philippines, the Russian Federation, and Turkey to examine their relationship with each country's exchange rate and the United States (US) Treasury...

The crisis that affected financial markets in the last years leaded market practitioners to revise well known basic concepts like the ones of discount factors and forward rates. A single yield curve is not sufficient any longer to describe the market of interest rate products. On the other hand,...

Can the credit spreads of one and the same issuer differ in two different currencies? If so, can an investor exploit this situation? To answer these questions and to add to the existing literature, we extend the Jarrow/Turnbull model with a second currency and test these theoretical results with...

The purpose of this article is to explain changes in sovereign yields using conventional “rating agency style” measures in comparison to contingent claims valuation-based measures. I will show that – in contrast to most conventional sovereign credit quality measures – contingent claims...

In this paper we use Merton's (1976) model for pricing options when the underlying asset is driven by a mixed diffusion-jump process to compute the monthly default probabilities of a bond issuer whose income is uncertain with high volatility in tax collection. In particular, the case of a...

We analyze the term structure of illiquidity premiums as the difference between the yield curves of two major bond segments that are both government guaranteed but differ in their liquidity. We show that its characteristics strongly depend on the economic situation. In crisis times, illiquidity...

A small but ambitious literature uses affine arbitrage-free models to estimate jointly U.S. Treasury term premiums and the term structure of equity risk premiums. Within this approach, this paper identifies the parameter restrictions that are consistent with a simple dividend discount model,...

We analyze the term structure of illiquidity premiums as the difference between the yield curves of two major bond segments that are both government guaranteed but differ in their liquidity. We show that its characteristics strongly depend on the economic situation. In crisis times, illiquidity...