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In this study, we analyze the reaction of the U.S. Treasury bond market to innovations in macroeconomic fundamentals. We identify these innovations based on macroeconomic news, which are defined as differences between the actual releases and market expectations. We find that that macroeconomic...
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certain foreign exchange and U.S. Treasury security returns without contaminating estimates of their integrated volatility … without contaminating volatility estimates; bond returns may be sampled as frequently as once every 2 to 3 minutes on days … higher than those often recommended in the empirical literature on realized volatility in equity markets. The higher sampling …
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certain foreign exchange and U.S. Treasury security returns without contaminating estimates of their integrated volatility … with market microstructure noise. Using volatility signature plots and a recently-proposed formal decision rule to select … contaminating volatility estimates; bond returns may be sampled as frequently as once every 2 to 3 minutes on days without U …
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Various macroeconomic announcements are known to influence asset price volatility. While contemplating the impact of a … underlying cash market, pushes futures prices lower and volatility higher. Conversely, a higher bid-to-cover ratio, which … employment data as having a significant volatility impact on Treasury futures, and highlight the importance of non farm payrolls …
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