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Why are we seeing inflation? The government dropped about $5 trillion in people's bank accounts, a classic fiscal … helicopter drop. Why did this one produce inflation? People do not believe this debt will be repaid. Will inflation continue …? Whether we see a one-time price-level increase or continued inflation depends on future fiscal and monetary policy, and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013306940
paper, I assess the implications of the zero lower bound in a DSGE model with financial frictions. The analysis shows that … as the management of expectations by the central bank or a counter-cyclical fiscal stimulus, may help recover the economy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013089396
rule (MT) that takes both debt and inflation into consideration exaggerates the trade-off between short-run and long …-run multipliers. In addition, we show that relative to seiniorage, inflation and changes in the discount factor play more important …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014354978
We investigate the size of the multiplier at the ZLB in a New keynesian model. It ranges from around -0.25 to +1.5, depending on the extent to which government spending is productive, substitutable or not for private consumption.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010251637
near-term economic outlook, characterised by persistently low nominal interest rates and inflation, and in a lasting low …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012844862
This study analyzes the effect of a money-financed policy for fiscal reform. We introduce a realistic setting in which real output is not given by an exogenous variable, but is determined by effective demand in a monetary growth model. Using this model, we compare the effects of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012968526
responsive to inflation. When monetary and fiscal policy regimes can switch, policy uncertainty also reduces spending multipliers …. In particular, when higher inflation induces a rising probability to switch to a regime in which monetary policy actively … controls inflation and fiscal policy raises future taxes to stabilize government debt, the multipliers can fall much below …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012828225
related to their inflation expectations. In a high-inflation regime, as in the early 1990s, consumers with higher inflation … work. Conversely, in a low-inflation environment, such as the one after the global financial crisis, higher expected … inflation lowers households' purchasing power and, thereby, spending (income effect). We also find that the composition of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012832729
Increases in government spending trigger substitution effects - both inter- and intra-temporal - and a wealth effect. The ultimate impacts on the economy hinge on current and expected monetary and fiscal policy behavior. Studies that impose active monetary policy and passive fiscal policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013095479
primary surpluses should lead households to anticipate this higher inflation. Are household inflation expectations sensitive … observing how they revise their expectations about future inflation as well as taxes and government spending. We find that … information about the current debt or deficit levels has little impact on inflation expectations but that news about future debt …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013241439