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strong and persistent during the euro crisis. With regard to the austerity outlook, I show that, beginning in 2025, EA … expects, and that the economic and political implications of austerity may complicate the governance of a fragile EA. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015076372
ordering these consolidation strategies by multiplier size or their welfare consequences leads to very different rankings. With …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010486056
generate optimal policies that resemble "austerity" measures. Optimal policy prescribes front-loaded fiscal consolidations and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011446558
This paper provides evidence that austerity shocks have long-run negative effects on GDP. Besides addressing the … reweighting in a local projections setup to account for the potential endogeneity of austerity policies and the non-linearity of … contractions larger than 3%. Evidence is also found linking austerity with smaller capital stock in the long-run. The results are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014229776
austerity may arrive just in time to deal with looming debts, and suggest that more work to understand the mechanisms behind …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013311084
We assess public finances solvency for Euro Area countries using quarterly data between 1999Q1 and 2020Q4. Through a country-by-country analysis, the answer to the title question is true. For most countries, (i) the primary budget balance reacts positively to the lagged public debt ratio and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013365375
After a brief introduction dealing with critical opinions of some economists on the European austerity policy, the … authors point out that austerity as a means of achieving fiscal consolidation and financial stability is applied when the … fiscal domain is weak. After analyzing the effects of the 2009 crisis on some indicators and austerity measures taken by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011576575
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011536864
In this paper, we use local projections to investigate the impact of consolidation shocks on GDP growth, conditional on the fragility of government finances. Based on a database of fiscal plans in OECD countries, we show that spending shocks are less detrimental than tax-based consolidation. In...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012012854
This paper aims to investigate the effects of various fiscal policy measures for small and open economies by analysing the implications of fiscal shocks in the Baltic countries based on data for the period from 1995 to 2018. For this purpose, we have chosen structural VAR estimation methods...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013347151