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analysis suggests that, given EMU's present political-economic set-up, i) the bail-out was unavoidable, ii) the lengthy process … with a future moral hazard problem. Based on our analysis, we suggest that the EMU's institutional design could be improved … processes as well as the conditions and parameters on which the scope and limits of fiscal redistribution in EMU depends. In …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010274897
analysis suggests that, given EMU's present political-economic set-up, i) the bail-out was unavoidable, ii) the lengthy process … with a future moral hazard problem. Based on our analysis, we suggest that the EMU's institutional design could be improved … negotiation processes as well as the conditions and parameters on which the scope and limits of fiscal redistribution in EMU …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011430854
Since the breakdown of the Bretton Woods System diverging current account positions in Europe have prevailed. While the Southern and Western European countries have tended to run current account deficits, the current accounts of the Central and Northern European countries, in particular Germany,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010291505
This paper provides new empirical evidence of the impact of an unanticipated change in public debt on real GDP. Using public debt forecast errors, we identify exogenous changes in public debt to assess the impact of a change in the debt to GDP ratio on real GDP. By analyzing data on gross public...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013289446
This paper investigates the threshold impact of government debt on economic growth in the presence of fiscal consolidation in South Africa from 1979 to 2022. The autoregressive threshold regime (TAR) model and two-stage least squares (2SLS) are used. The contribution of the paper is on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014501250
Das Papier diskutiert die relative Aufgabenteilung von privaten und öffentlichen Institutionen bei der Vermeidung und Bewältigung von Verschuldungskrisen souveräner Staaten. Anders als häufig in der Debatte dargestellt, sind Änderungen sowohl auf Seiten der Anleger gefragt wie auch...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295529
The British foreign exchange reserves decreased by 40 percent during the period August 1996-December 1999 although the Pound Sterling is considered a floating exchange rate since it left the EMS in 1992. Since changes in the level of foreign exchange reserves are usually taken as indicators for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010297719
The paper identifies based on the monetary overinvestment theories by Wicksell (1898), Mises (1912) and Hayek (1929) monetary policy mistakes in large industrial countries issuing international currencies. It its argued that a neglect towards monetary policy reform in a world dominated by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010334476
) steady deterioration of Greek macroeconomic fundamentals over 2001-2009 to levels inconsistent with long-term EMU … participation; and (b) a double shift in markets' expectations, from a regime of credible commitment to future EMU participation … under an implicit EMU/German guarantee of Greek fiscal liabilities, to a regime of non-credible EMU commitment without …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010274777
We study the interaction of fiscal and monetary policies during a currency crisis in an economy with government nominal liabilities. We show that the stock and maturity of these liabilities are key determinants of the magnitude, timing and predictability of a devaluation. Among notable features...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010369201