Showing 1 - 10 of 1,322
Official lenders provide financial assistance to countries that face sovereign debt crisis. The availability of … accumulate higher debt levels. To assess the overall effect of financial assistance on the probability of default we construct a … that occur due to self-fulfilling runs by private investors. However, at the same time it raises average debt levels …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009748733
This paper tests the effect of sovereign debt structure on default likelihood. Sovereign debt structure is identified … likelihood of default. The results provide evidence that bilateral loans, short term debt, and bank loans increase the likelihood … of default. Results also show that foreign currency denominated debt reduces default likelihood. The study provides …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013082631
Over the past 40 years, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) has played a central role in the sovereign debt … restructuring process. If the COVID-19 pandemic leads to a significant wave of sovereign debt distress, this role will be closely … stage of the sovereign debt restructuring process. It also identifies a number of issues that the IMF will likely have to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012826440
This book challenges the prevalent assumption that sovereign debt must be repaid — even after a major regime change … historical constancy all fall away upon closer inspection. It points out that practices of sovereign debt and reputation are … cannot simply be assumed, and in fact different creditors may view — and historically have viewed — the same debt repudiation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013025779
We estimate a canonical sovereign default model from Arellano (2008) for Argentina via maximum simulated likelihood estimation to understand how well it performs in terms of predicting default events. The estimated model accounts for the overall default patterns of Argentina and closely matches...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012932435
can refrain from lending into arrears is always repaid and adds value. The analysis suggests that IFIs and market lenders … states. This suggests such lenders should not differentiate lending interest rates according to risk and should not … participate in the restructuring of commercial debt. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012586734
In this paper we broaden the standard debt sustainability framework used in the IMF-WB Heavily Indebted Poor Countries … (HIPC) Initiative to include the analysis of domestic public debt and other feedback effects into the usual debt … public debt sustainability in a simple accounting framework that includes exchange rate effects. We use new data on domestic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012752259
sovereign’s debt restructuring process is likely to be conflict ridden, inefficient and to have a high probability of resulting … a broader range of creditors. One consequence is that sovereign debt restructurings (SODRs), are difficult, often …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014126539
At present, the enhanced HIPC initiative and the Gleneagles Proposal for debt write-downs by the G8 are the main … naïve to believe that the Millennium Development Goals can be achieved if the current debt relief mechanisms fail to address … such problem. In this paper, we develop a model of sovereign debt write-downs, where governance problems reflect domestic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014049848
This study has assessed the role of existing policies in determining the state of debt sustainability for the Pakistan … index has been constructed to formulate a debt-policy interactive term that implies whether or not existing macroeconomic … policies contribute in making external debt sustainable in Pakistan. Second, this study has gauged the potential sustainable …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014090567