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democracy in 1974 till the crisis of 2009. The econometric investigation is based on a model in which two political parties … determined expenditure and tax targets, subject to a debt accumulation equation. The model predicts a political equilibrium in …. However, this stabilization incentive is weaker in election years. The model also predicts potential partisan differences in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013072412
the Indonesian economy. The symmetric model (Autoregressive Distributed Lag/ARDL) and the asymmetric model (Nonlinear ARDL …) are employed to estimate the association among the variables in the model, both in the short and long run, in a quarterly … the long run. This study only found a significant impact of trade openness on economic growth in the asymmetric model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014286722
Using the government's intertemporal budget constraint, we quantify the contribution of returns paid on the U.S. government's debt portfolio to the evolution of the debt-to-GDP ratio. We show that announcements of unconventional monetary policy measures by the Federal Reserve between 2008.IV and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013028968
This paper examines the fiscal and monetary policy options available to China as a sovereign currency-issuing nation operating in a dollar standard world. We first summarize a number of issues facing China, including the possibility of slower growth, global imbalances, and a number of domestic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010228185
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010350222
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009672319
Historically, periods of high indebtedness have been associated with a rising incidence of default or restructuring of public and private debts. A subtle type of debt restructuring takes the form of 'financial repression.' Financial repression includes directed lending to government by captive...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013067013
debt in a heterogeneous agent economy with incomplete insurance markets. Calibrating our model to the key aggregate and … results indicate that the inclusion of public infrastructure in the model specification implies a lower optimal debt level … becomes optimal, with the optimal share implied by our model being significantly higher than the average publicdebt-GDP ratio …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012968462
The fiscal deficit is "ill defined"; it is "without theoretical background"; it is "a number in search of a concept". Such judgements are characteristic of a prominent part of the literature on the new measurement concept of generational accounting. This paper argues that such criticism is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013321085
Government bonds are interest-bearing assets. Increasing public debt increases income, wealth, and consumption demand. The smaller government expenditure is, the larger consumption demand must be in equilibrium, and the larger must be public debt. Conversely, lower public debt implies higher...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010440451