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fundamentals-based or pure contagion. To do so, we examine the behaviour of EMU sovereign bond yield spreads with respect to the … contagion) and episodes of significantly reduced interconnection (which we associate with immunisation). We then use an ordered … variables proxying market sentiment and of variables proxying macrofundamentals in determining contagion and immunisation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013054304
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offer an operational definition of contagion to examine European Economic and Monetary Union (EMU) countries public debt … period, and the intensification of causality recorded in 70% of the cases, provide clear evidence of contagion in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013057489
With a view to establishing a Capital Markets Union (CMU), efforts to integrate (private) capital markets and private risk-sharing in the European Union are underway. However, the single (capital) market will be burdened by a perennial potential threat to sovereign bond market stability in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012051172
Using a DSGE model with nominal wage rigidity, we investigate two scenarios for the Italian economy. The first considers sustained policy commitment to reform. The results indicate the possibility of 'growing out of bad initial conditions', if fiscal consolidation is combined with a program for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012244451
This paper analyzes the causes of the sovereign debt crisis in the eurozone and examines the policy alternatives confronting euro area governments. It suggests that pooling fiscal risks, creating an EU Treasury and issuing jointly-backed euro bonds is an optimal solution and the inevitable...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013111171
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This paper addresses the following questions. Is there evidence of financial contagion in the Eurozone? To what extent … a country's vulnerability to contagion depends on "fundamentals" as opposed the government's "credibility"? We look at … matter concerning the Euro Zone. Second, differences in vulnerability to contagion within the Eurozone are even more …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011731038
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