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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010459742
In the aftermath of the crisis, sovereign risk premium differentials have been increasingly widening. Although the perceived risk for core countries remains relatively low, financial markets seem to discriminate among peripheral economies requiring higher risk premia than what is justified by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012979651
Climate change is already a systemic risk to the global economy. While there is a large body of literature documenting potential economic consequences, there is scarce research on the link between climate change and sovereign risk. This paper therefore investigates the impact of climate change...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012828232
This study presents empirical evidence about the determinants of long-term government bond yields for 19 economies of the European Monetary Union (EMU) over the period 1995-2018 within a multivariate panel framework. The fixed effects estimators reveal that the relationship between public debt...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012291891
This paper analyzes the dynamics of long-term US Treasury security yields from a Keynesian perspective using daily data. Keynes held that the short-term interest rate is the main driver of the long-term interest rate. In this paper, the daily changes in long-term Treasury security yields are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012059722
Usually the higher Government Debt country borrows money from other countries having lower Government Debt. This will end up with a higher lending rate in all countries. So, the spillover of a high debt problem in one country will cause pressures for higher interest rates in all remaining...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013087934
We investigate the effects of official fiscal data and creative accounting signals on interest rate spreads between bond yields in the European Union. Our model predicts that risk premia contained in government bond spreads should increase in both, the official fiscal position and the expected...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295807
We investigate the effect of fiscal institutions such as the strength of the finance minister in the budget process and deficits on interest spreads contained in bond yields of the countries now belonging to the Eurozone. Deficits significantly increase risk premia measured by relative swap...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295824
In the present paper it is pointed out that government debt is an obstacle to economic growth. To my belief, the remedy to this problem is to encourage consumption and not to impose taxes onto the consumers. Because, any decrease in their wages and salaries for temporary budgetary purposes, will...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013152967
We analyse the international transmission of interest rates by focusing on the role of the accumulation of international reserves and on the financing of sovereign debt. An increase in foreign exchange reserves is expected to moderate the influence of U.S. interest rates. However, a high level...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013240933