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We consider a Keynes-Goodwin model of effective demand and the distributive cycle where workers purchase goods and houses with marginal propensity significantly larger than one. They therefore need credit, supplied from asset holders, and have to pay interest on their outstanding debt. In this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003861624
inflation facts. Using a Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium model with Markov-switching policy rules, we identify three …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014482924
unemployment. This calls in question both the interpretation of potential output estimates as barriers to more vigorous inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010458229
positive if the central bank adopts closed-loop strategies that raise the real interest rate when inflation is above target … owing to fiscal deviations. More aggressive defence of the inflation target implies lower debt and higher welfare. Simple …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011431600
All explorations of the future of the Euro show serious risks for its survival in the present form. The road map of the Five EU Presidents presented in 2015 is far from sufficient to reduce the risks of the Euro zone falling apart by Brexit type developments or new economic shocks. The EU...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011582732
Competitiveness adjustment in struggling southern euro-area members requires persistently lower inflation than in major … trading partners, but low inflation worsens public debt sustainability. When average euro-area inflation undershoots the two …, inflation and budget surplus assumptions can easily result in a runaway debt trajectory. The case for a greater than five …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010197555
We examine the relationship between inflation and fiscal sustainability with a two-step approach. In the first step, we … various measures of inflation such as headline inflation, core inflation, energy inflation, and food inflation affect the … estimate of fiscal sustainability found previously. Our findings indicate that higher inflation rates contribute positively to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014444867
inflation in order to stabilize the expectations of households, firms and innovators. Endogenous growth provides a self … debt-stabilizing inflation when current fiscal deficits are not backed by future fiscal surpluses. Because growth creates … unique stable equilibrium, provided that the policy permits r−g to fall with inflation. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014457581
substantially. The reason for this non-monotonic behavior is the interaction between the dynamics of the inflation rate and the debt …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009742085
We develop a theoretical framework to account for the observed instability of the link between inflation and fiscal … bank that has full control over inflation. When policy makers deviate from this Virtuous regime, agents conduct Bayesian … pessimistic about a prompt return to the Virtuous regime and inflation starts drifting in response to a fiscal imbalance. Shocks …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013080961