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The U.S. fiscal cliff has sparked renewed interest on the issue of fiscal sustainability. Using a time-varying parameter model with a longer data set (1916-2011), there is evidence that the response of primary surplus-income ratio to debt-GDP ratio shows (1) substantial variation over time, (2)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013078271
Building on the automatic fiscal stabilisers literature, this paper assesses how automatic stabilisers have evolved over the past two decades by analysing changes in the personal income tax and social benefit systems. In three-quarters of the 35 OECD countries analysed, indicators of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012421097
This paper estimates the effects of fiscal stimulus on economic activity using a novel database on large fiscal expansions for 17 OECD countries for the period 1960–2006. The database is constructed by combining the statistical approach to identifying large shifts in fiscal policy with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012865948
I estimate fiscal reaction functions to analyze the cyclical behavior of discretionary measures in the euro area and the potential impact of changes in the fiscal framework. The core is to analyze whether fiscal rules have an asymmetric impact on discretionary measures over the cycle. First,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012319571
This paper investigates how numerical fiscal rules affect government investment in the EU and disentangles their effect over the business cycle. Public investment seems to be generally susceptible to cutbacks during recessions. Fiscal rules demonstrate heterogeneous effects, depending on their...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014327527
This paper presents a detailed analysis of fiscal frameworks across the six Western Balkan economies utilizing a newly compiled dataset based on the European Commission's Fiscal Governance Database. The analysis reveals that although all six Western Balkan countries have implemented some form of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015164551
We implement a meta-regression-analysis for the budgetary impact of numerical fiscal rules. Based on 30 studies published in the last decade, we offer a consensus estimate with respect to the level of statistical significance, provide suggestive evidence for the effect size, and identify study...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011444762
Public Financial Management (PFM) reform is a central fiscal policy feature. However, previous studies and reforms in developing countries have been mixed, with literature mainly taking two broad approaches: Descriptive studies seeking to explain the types of reforms undertaken, modelled along...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012418946
The concept of fiscal imbalance is familiar to economists but less so to policymakers, politicians, and the public. Yet understanding this concept is essential to rational discussion of government financial health. This paper provides a primer on government fiscal imbalance.The material is not...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012991402
Short-term fiscal indicators based on public accounts data are often used by European policy makers. They represent one of the main sources of publicly available intra-annual fiscal information. Nevertheless, these indicators have received limited attention from the academic literature analysing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604947