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A necessary and sufficient condition for the strict stationarity of a family of GARCH processes
Meitz, Mika (contributor) - 2005
We consider a family of GARCH(1,1) processes introduced in He and Teräsvirta (1999a). This family contains various … popular GARCH models as special cases. A necessary and sufficient condition for the existence of a strictly stationary … solution is given. -- GARCH ; strict stationarity ; Lyapunov exponent …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003073741
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El spread de intermediación en una economía emergente bajo distintos regímenes macroeconómicos: Argentina, 1994-2013
Aguirre, Horacio; Burdisso, Tamara; Grillo, Federico; … - 2015
We study the interest rate spread of the Argentine financial system during the last eighteen years. We analyze Granger causality of selected variables, and estimate econometric models that relate spread to macroeconomic and microeconomic factors. Resuls indicate that output growth and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011417927
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Are Forecast Updates Progressive?
Chang, Chia-Lin; Franses, Philip Hans; McAleer, Michael - 2013
Many macroeconomic forecasts and forecast updates like those from IMF and OECD typically involve both a model component, which is replicable, as well as intuition, which is non-replicable. Intuition is expert knowledge possessed by a forecaster. If forecast updates are progressive, forecast...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010326444
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Short-term forecasts of euro area real GDP growth: an assessment of real-time performance based on vintage data
Diron, Marie - 2006
Economic policy makers, international organisations and private-sector forecasters commonly use short-term forecasts of real GDP growth based on monthly indicators, such as industrial production, retail sales and confidence surveys. An assessment of the reliability of such tools and of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604668
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Aggregating Phillips curves
Imbs, Jean; Jondeau, Eric; Pelgrin, Florian - 2007
The New Keynesian Phillips Curve is at the center of two raging empirical debates. First, how can purely forward looking pricing account for the observed persistence in aggregate inflation. Second, price-setting responds to movements in marginal costs, which should therefore be the driving force...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604831
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Econometric Models of Asymmetric Price Transmission
Manera, Matteo; Frey, Giliola - 2005
In this paper we review the existing empirical literature on price asymmetries in commodities, providing a way to classify and compare different studies which are highly heterogeneous in terms of econometric models, type of asymmetries and empirical findings. Relative to the previous literature,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010312410
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Monitoring structural change in dynamic econometric models
Zeileis, Achim; Leisch, Friedrich; Kleiber, Christian; … - 2002
The classical approach to testing for structural change employs retrospective tests using a historical data set of a given length. Here we consider a wide array of fluctuation-type tests in a monitoring situation – given a history period for which a regression relationship is known to be...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010316441
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Modelling financial high frequency data using point processes
Bauwens, Luc (contributor); Hautsch, Nikolaus (contributor) - 2007
In this paper, we give an overview of the state-of-the-art in the econometric literature on the modeling of so-called financial point processes. The latter are associated with the random arrival of specific financial trading events, such as transactions, quote updates, limit orders or price...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003635084
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Measuring and modeling risk using high-frequency data
Härdle, Wolfgang (contributor);  … - 2008
Measuring and modeling financial volatility is the key to derivative pricing, asset allocation and risk management.The recent availability of high-frequency data allows for refined methods in this field.In particular, more precise measures for the daily or lower frequency volatility can be...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003727640
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El spread de intermediación en una economía emergente bajo distintos regímenes macroeconómicos : Argentina, 1994 - 2013
Aguirre, Horacio; Burdisso, Tamara; Grillo, Federico; … - 2015
We study the interest rate spread of the Argentine financial system during the last eighteen years. We analyze Granger causality of selected variables, and estimate econometric models that relate spread to macroeconomic and microeconomic factors. Resuls indicate that output growth and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011333386