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We examine the information content of the CBOE Crude Oil Volatility Index (OVX) when forecasting realized volatility in the WTI futures market. Additionally, we study whether other market variables, such as volume, open interest, daily returns, bid-ask spread and the slope of the futures curve,...
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For fixed maturity, under the no-arbitrage assumption, futures prices should follow a martingale with respect to the trading time, at least under the pricing measure. Therefore, a prominent display of trading time seasonality under the physical measure raises warning signs and can only occur by...
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This paper studies the comovement between volatility of the equity market and the oil market, both for implied and realized volatilities. The wavelet methodology enables us to study this relationship on various time scales. We find that there is a strong comovement between the volatilities of...
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