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Following the exisiting literature, we present the most up-to-date estimates of oil shocks and the response of the U.S. economy. Regardless of model specifications, oil supply shocks have a negative effect on the U.S. real GDP, albeit the magnitude of responses is different across models....
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world business cycles, the sources of economic fluctuations have become more diversified, and consequently, the role of oil … statistically significantly explained by world GDP, but not by oil prices. We further develop our study using impulse … find that rising global political and economic integration can play a critical role in explaining business cycles of these …
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