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wind power process, such as heteroscedasticity and nonlinearity, we also investigate the use of a Markov regime …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010529342
This paper extends the investigation of the stochastic properties of electricity price growth rates beyond their first two conditional moments allowing for the impact of seasonality on their parameters. The main contributions include the breakdown of electricity price risk into its pure and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013249671
Both unconditional mixed-normal distributions and GARCH models with fat-tailed conditional distributions have been employed for modeling financial return data. We consider a mixed-normal distribution coupled with a GARCH-type structure which allows for conditional variance in each of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009767120
The class of mixed normal conditional heteroskedastic (MixN-GARCH) models, which couples a mixed normal distributional structure with GARCH-type dynamics, has been shown to offer a plausible decomposition of the contributions to volatility, as well as excellent out-of-sample forecasting...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009721353
Heteroscedasticity (GARCH) family with a view to providing a parsimonious approximation to the dynamics of Nigeria's inflation volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011476231
This paper examines the joint dynamics of a system of asset returns by describing and implementing a factor multivariate stochastic volatility (factor MSV) model. The foundation for the model discussed here is the work of Doz and Renault (2006). Despite its attractive design, that model has not...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013150665
This paper investigates inference and volatility forecasting using a Markov switching heteroscedastic model with a fat-tailed error distribution to analyze asymmetric effects on both the conditional mean and conditional volatility of financial time series. The motivation for extending the Markov...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013159442
I develop an ex-post conservativism measure (that identifies conservatism based on whether firms understate or overstate earnings) rather than an ex-ante conservatism measure (that suffices as a governance mechanism [such as conservative accounting rules] to compel managers to be conservative)....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012956025
This paper introduces a new class of long memory model for volatility of stock returns, and applies the model on squared returns for BRICS (Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa) countries. The conditional first- and second-order moments are provided. The CLS, FGLS and QML estimators...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013017294
distribution. The moments with conditional heteroscedasticity have been discussed. In a Monte Carlo experiment, it was found that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012022130