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in specific correlation dynamics. A strong implication emerges: during the period under research, and from a different …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010515402
We propose a new class of observation-driven time-varying parameter models for dynamic volatilities and correlations to handle time series from heavy-tailed distributions. The model adopts generalized autoregressive score dynamics to obtain a time-varying covariance matrix of the multivariate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011380135
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009720703
autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity model and the dynamic conditional correlation model where distributional assumptions …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011386468
In this note we provide the analytical gradient of the full model likelihood of the DCC specification of Engle (2002), the generalized version of Cappiello et al. (2006), and of the cDCC model of Aielli (2008)
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013132023
Ever since Harry Markowitz published his seminal paper on portfolio selection, investors have incorporated estimates of future volatilities and correlations into their asset allocation process. While portfolio construction methods continue to evolve, many investors continue to forecast...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013086014
these forecasts. In this paper we analyse these effects on the context of dynamic conditional correlation (DCC) models when … for return, volatilities, conditional correlation and VaR that is robust to outliers. The results are illustrated with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012956168
fail to adjust for serial correlation in fund, index and relative return data. The standard deviation of daily, weekly and … are surprisingly rare. As a result, serial correlation in returns data requires an adjustment to the annualised volatility … calculation. This paper describes the rationale for this methodology and simple but necessary adjustments for serial correlation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012975781
correlation matrix of asset returns. The proposed Variance Implied Conditional Correlation (VICC) exploits the polarization result … that links the correlation between two standardized variables with the variances of linear combinations thereof. In a Monte … Carlo study, we show that the VICC yields accurate correlation estimates for common choices of the correlation dynamics. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012852852
The asset allocation decision often relies upon correlation estimates arising from short-run data. Short …-run correlation estimates may, however, be distorted by frictions. In this paper, we introduce a long-run wavelet-based correlation … heterogeneity in correlation. The implication is that short-run correlation may be downward biased by frictions, the latter …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012917953