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volatility forecasting into two pillars: the realized variances and realized correlations and quantifies the corresponding …% and at least 78%). The results on the GMV portfolios show that realized covariance models exhibit lower ex-post volatility …
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We derive a framework for asymptotically valid inference in stable vector autoregressive (VAR) models with conditional heteroskedasticity of unknown form. We prove a joint central limit theorem for the VAR slope parameter and innovation covariance parameter estimators and address bootstrap...
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