Showing 1 - 10 of 6,586
metal price series is investigated, as well as time-varying volatility. The results demonstrate that allowing for jumps and … time-varying volatility provides statistically important improvements in the modelling or prices, relative to GBM. These …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012038566
volatility índices (namely the originally created RTSVX and the new RVI that has replaced it), using daily data over the period …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011903723
standard information criteria, volatility persistence and the log likelihood statistic, showed that results improved with … of volatility breaks reduces the level of persistence in most of the models. The study recommends the incorporation of …This paper examines exchange-rate volatility with GARCH models using monthly exchange-rate return series from 1985:1 to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011476095
This paper examines long memory volatility in the cross-section of stock returns. We show that long memory volatility … capitalization, book-to-market ratio, prior performance and price jumps. Long memory volatility is negatively priced in the cross …-section. Buying stocks with shorter memory and selling stocks with longer memory in volatility generates significant excess returns of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011750708
This paper extends the investigation of the stochastic properties of electricity price growth rates beyond their first two conditional moments allowing for the impact of seasonality on their parameters. The main contributions include the breakdown of electricity price risk into its pure and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013249671
issue is particularly important for persistent time series, we focus on volatility modelling, specifically modelling of … realized volatility. We suggest a simple way of adjusting volatility models, which we illustrate on an AR(1) model and the HAR … more than 15 years, and we find that our extension improves the volatility models—both in sample and out of sample. For HAR …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012952580
electricity price volatility. We use emergency outages of coal generators as an exogenous source of variation in the power …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012893936
Volatility is a key measure of risk in financial analysis. The high volatility of one financial asset today could … affect the volatility of another asset tomorrow. These lagged effects among volatilities - which we call volatility … freedom. Moreover, we study volatility spillovers among a large number of assets. To this end, we use penalized estimation of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012943774
This paper investigates volatility forecasting for crude oil and natural gas. The main objective of our research is to … from a related energy commodity. We find that on average, information from related commodity does not improve volatility …, superior volatility forecasts are produced by combining forecasts from various models. As a result, information from the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012919520
We analyse the dynamic behavior of conditional volatility in commodity markets using a novel, manually collected … dataset of daily price ranges over a time span of more than 140 years, which allows more precise daily volatility estimates … not adequate to capture the very distinct long-run and short-run dynamic volatility components. While the long memory …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013232819