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In empirical work on multivariate financial time series, it is common to postulate a Multivariate GARCH model. We show that the popular Gaussian quasi-maximum likelihood estimator of MGARCH models is very sensitive to outliers in the data. We propose to use robust M-estimators and provide...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014220834
In this paper we come up with an alternate theoretical proof for the independence and unbiased property of extreme value robust volatility estimator with respect to the standard robust volatility estimator as proposed in the paper by Muneer & Maheswaran (2018b). We show that the robust...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012023869
We consider robust inference for an autoregressive parameter in a stationary autoregressive model with GARCH innovations when estimation is based on least squares estimation. As the innovations exhibit GARCH, they are by construction heavy-tailed with some tail index κ. The rate of consistency...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012946453
We present a robust Generalized Empirical Likelihood estimator and confidence region for the parameters of an autoregression that may have a heavy tailed error, and the error may be conditionally heteroscedastic of unknown form. The estimator exploits two transformations for heavy tail...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013035987
Estimation of the volatility of time series has taken off since the introduction of the GARCH and stochastic volatility models. While variants of the GARCH model are applied in scores of articles, use of the stochastic volatility model is less widespread. In this article it is argued that one...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011386124
We address some issues that arise with the Dynamic Conditional Correlation (DCC) model. We prove that the DCC large system estimator (DCC estimator) can be inconsistent, and that the traditional interpretation of the DCC correlation parameters can lead to misleading conclusions. We then suggest...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013134164
This book presents in detail methodologies for the Bayesian estimation of single-regime and regime-switching GARCH models. These models are widespread and essential tools in financial econometrics and have, until recently, mainly been estimated using the classical Maximum Likelihood technique....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013156202
The Markov-switching GARCH model allows for a GARCH structure with time-varying parameters. This flexibility is unfortunately undermined by a path dependence problem which complicates the parameter estimation process. This problem led to the development of computationally intensive estimation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012973701
developed based on both the Monte Carlo expectation-maximization algorithm and importance sampling to calculate the maximum …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012976891
This paper introduces Quasi-Maximum Likelihood Estimation for Long Memory Stock Transaction Data of unknown underlying distribution. The moments with conditional heteroscedasticity have been discussed. In a Monte Carlo experiment, it was found that the QML estimator performs as well as CLS and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012022130