We advocate a dynamic approach to monetary convergence to a common currency that is based on the analysis of financial system stability. Accordingly, we empirically test volatility dynamics of the tenyear sovereign bond yields of the 2004 EU accession countries in relation to the eurozone yields...

Density forecasts have become quite important in economics and finance. For example, such forecasts play a central role in modern financial risk management techniques like Value at Risk. This paper suggests a regression based density forecast evaluation framework as a simple alternative to other...

Density forecasts have become quite important in economics and finance. For example, such forecasts play a central role in modern financial risk management techniques like Value at Risk. This paper suggests a regression based density forecast evaluation framework as a simple alternative to other...

Das Optionspreismodell von Black/Scholes hat sich zum Industrie-Standard für die Bewertung von Aktienoptionen entwickelt. In diesem Modell wird die Annahme einer konstanten Volatilität der Kursveränderungen getroffen. Der Befund zahlreicher empirischer Untersuchungen, dass sich Volatilität...