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Given the emerging consensus from previous studies that crude oil and refined product (as well as crack spread) prices are cointegrated, this study examines the link between the crude oil spot and crack spread derivatives markets. Specifically, the usefulness of the two crack spread derivatives...
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forecasts improves the forecast accuracy, and in particular new models with power transformations of weather forecast variables …
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analytical tractability. -- ARMA-GARCH models ; neural networks ; nonparametric density estimation ; forecast accuracy ; option …
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