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This paper evaluates how different types of speculation affect the volatility of commodities' futures prices. We adopt … four indexes of speculation: Working's T, the market share of non-commercial traders, the percentage of net long … speculators over total open interest in future markets, which proxy for long term speculation, and scalping, which proxies for …
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We study volatility spillovers among commodity and equity markets by employing a recently developed approach based on realized measures and forecast error variance decomposition invariant to the variable ordering from vector-autoregressions. This enables us to measure total, directional and net...
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Commodity markets present several challenges for quantitative modeling. These include high volatilities, small sample data sets, and physical, operational complexity. In addition, the set of traded products in commodity markets is more limited than in financial or equity markets, making value...
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Given the emerging consensus from previous studies that crude oil and refined product (as well as crack spread) prices are cointegrated, this study examines the link between the crude oil spot and crack spread derivatives markets. Specifically, the usefulness of the two crack spread derivatives...
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