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volatility as well as the U.S. economy. We find that - even after accounting for these factors - oil price uncertainty still has … confirms these results. Finally, significant spillover effects in the GARCH model suggest that oil price volatility is a gauge …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011608019
volatility of US and UK GDP growth appears to have become increasingly correlated in the recent past. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011554403
We propose a new empirical framework that jointly decomposes the conditional variance of economic time series into a common and a sector-specific uncertainty component. We apply our framework to a large dataset of disaggregated industrial production series for the US economy. Our results...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013419275
This paper employs the unrestricted extended constant conditional correlation GARCH specification proposed in Conrad and Karanasos (2008) to examine the intertemporal relationship between the uncertainties of inflation and output growth in the US. We find that inflation uncertainty effects...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003770689
This paper examines whether macroeconomic instability can influence stock market volatility in a sample of 5 emerging … discordant from one country to another, but when a dynamic panel GMM is estimated, exchange rate volatility is found to be the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010492726
further developed by Engle and Kroner (1995)) to examine the return and volatility spillover between India and four leading … correlation and volatility transmission across the pre- and post-2008 global financial crisis periods (apart from other … developing countries. The result further shows a clear distinction in terms of volatility spillover between the Asian market vis …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014339125
behind narrative sign restrictions and allows to extract time varying contemporaneous effects and volatility transmission … from conventional reduced form volatility models with dynamic correlations. We find the market value of banking …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011903210
We derive and empirically test a theoretical link between exchange rate volatility and global equity correlations … equity portfolio volatility, and portfolio optimization …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012890265
The paper examined the effect of macroeconomic variables on the volatility of conventional and Islamic indices. The … macroeconomic variables included economic uncertainty index, federal funds rate, money supply, volatility fear index, consumer price …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013248223
paper investigates the impact of EPU on the crude oil return volatility and which EPU index has the most forecasting power … the crude oil return volatility, but the effect is short-lived and the decay period is about one year. Particularly, our … results show that the US EPU index has the best forecasting power for crude oil return volatility over the long-term, whereas …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012040309