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This note presents the R package bayesGARCH (Ardia, 2007) which provides functions for the Bayesian estimation of the parsimonious and effective GARCH(1,1) model with Student-t innovations. The estimation procedure is fully automatic and thus avoids the tedious task of tuning a MCMC sampling...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011380176
This paper develops an asymptotic estimation theory for nonlinear autoregressive models with conditionally heteroskedastic errors. We consider a functional coefficient autoregression of order p (AR(p)) with the conditional variance specified as a general nonlinear first order generalized...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012723988
We compare small-sample properties of Bayes estimation and maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) of ARMA-GARCH models. Our Monte Carlo experiments indicate that in small sample, the Bayes estimator beats the MLE. We also develop a Bayes method of testing strict stationarity and ergodicity of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011577178
This paper develops an asymptotic estimation theory for nonlinear autoregressive models with conditionally heteroskedastic errors. We consider a functional coefficient autoregression of order p (AR(p)) with the conditional variance specified as a general nonlinear first order generalized...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014217546
We propose a more flexible range-based volatility model which can capture volatility process better than conventional GARCH approach. Considering the regime switching process is appropriate for dealing the structure change embedded in the time series data. Range-based volatility CARR model with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013109345
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009671895
In this article, we have tested the volatility of the returns of the spot exchange rate of EURO/USD, the returns of a real exchange rate index and the money supply, (M1), for changing conditional variances. Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedastic models (ARCH), Generalized Autoregressive...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012910696
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012653203
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013441895
We describe the package MSGARCH, which implements Markov-switching GARCH models in R with efficient C++ object-oriented programming. Markov-switching GARCH models have become popular methods to account for regime changes in the conditional variance dynamics of time series. The package MSGARCH...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012902834